Friday, June 6, 2014

Wiggins: "I won't be at the Tour"...the fallout is almost complete

Today, Sir Bradley Wiggins announced to the BBC (and not Sky) that “as it stands, I won’t be [at the Tour de France], probably," and going on to say that "I will probably have to leave Team Sky" to ever ride the Tour again. A shame really for all cycling fans hoping to see how the form he showed in winning the Tour of California might carry over into the Tour de France and how it might stack up in aid of, or against, his teams' leader, Chris Froome.

And by 'against' Froome, I mean the idea that Wiggins might have the form to show up with the instructions to help Froome but end up taking time of his own and putting himself into contention. As a past winner of the Tour de France, it would hardly be beyond all possibility that he could do it. Take time on the cobbled sections early in the Tour, limit his losses in the mountains and take more time back in the time-trial just before Paris.

I had said after that Tour of California in May that despite what he said about 'riding for Froome' at the Tour that I felt he had designs of his own on competing for the Yellow jersey again...clearly, Sky (and Froome) have thought this too.

Wiggins isn't being dropped because he lacks form, but because he's a risk to challenging Froome and thus destabilizing the defending champion, and given the harmony in which Sky like things to operate, they cannot have this. It would be like Mercedes F1 dropping Nico Rosberg because he's too big a threat to beating Lewis Hamilton. Thankfully La Via Clair didn't operate this way in 1986 when it came to selecting Greg LeMond to their Tour team to take on their defending champion Bernard Hinault.

As things are Froome would probably beat Wiggins head-to-head in this Tour even if he did show up and try take on his team-mate, but we're going to be denied finding out for sure and Froome (as well as the fans), should he win, will be left forever with the question 'what if Wiggins had been there...' hanging over him. This would be the second straight Tour he has won and it would be the second straight Tour in which the champion that came before him was not available to challenge him.

A Froome v Wiggins showdown is all going a little Mayweather v Pacquiao on us.

In a purely professional, robotic, singular minded focus of winning the Tour, of which Sky tick all the boxes, I suppose it makes sense in a way, but for fans of cycling and of good competition and of wanting the most in-form riders all there, and of those who like a bit of drama to their sport, this is not good news today.

That said, I believe you should pick your best possible team and worry about inter-team rivalry later in the race, should it crop up. Having two men challenge one another for the title is a luxury any other team would desire. But there is more: In a three week grand tour, anything can happen and often strange things do happen. Froome could have a bad day in the mountains, he could puncture and lose time on the cobbles, he could slip on a wet manhole on the first day and crash out. Then what Sky? Wiggins would give Sky a plan B; another option. If Wiggins's words today are true, Sky are very much choosing to put their eggs in one basket. It worked last year, will it work again?

Sunday, June 1, 2014

Quintana seals the deal; wins his first Giro ... the first of many

Yesterday I finished the stages report by saying that Nairo Quintana would amble over the line today into Trieste and win his first, but surely not his last grand tour. And he did just that on a stage won in a bunch sprint by Luka Mezgec, but what I should have said, was that Quintana would win his first but probably not his last grand tour -- this season.

Quintana has lit up this Giro with his talent. Falling behind the leaders in the first week, he turned on the style come the high mountains clawing his lead back on a controversial stage over the Stelvio but then cementing his domination over the rest on stage 19. Quintana is 24 years of age and so much lies ahead of him. He isn't slated to ride this years Tour de France, but a run at the Vuelta is likely and who would bet against him winning it? Indeed, should his team change their minds and put him into the Tour, Quintana looks like one of those rare birds who might have a shot at doing that famous Giro-Tour double. We'll see.

And what in particular reminds us of Quintana's youth is the fact he was still eligible for the young riders competition which, of course, he won. And it's the youth -- this new generation of talent -- that this Giro will truely be remembered for.

Quintana, Aru, Majka, Kelderman ... all under 24 ... the top four in the young riders competition, and all four in the top ten over the general classification. All four sure to contend grand tours in the years that follow and who could rule out all four of them winning at least one along the way?

Cadel Evans came in looking to win the Giro aged 37, believing it possible after what the 41 year old Chris Horner had done the year before at the Vuelta. Evans took the Pink jersey for a while and things looked good, but aging legs eventually caught up with him when this collection of young riders turned on the jets in the high mountains. Ryder Hesjedal, now 33, won the Giro two years ago and while we seen shades of his best stuff on stage 16 when he finished second just behind Quintana, he too often struggled against the young ones. In the end Evans and Hesjedal finished 8th and 9th respectively, but behind Quintana, Aru, Majaka and Kelderman.

In all five men wore the race leaders pink jersey. The Canadian Svein Tuft following the team-time-trial in Belfast, his Orica Green Edge team-mate Michael Matthews a day later and for six days, his fellow countryman, Cadel Evans for four stages, Colombian Rigoberto Uran for four more stages, and finally another Colombian, Nairo Quintana for the final six stages. Quintana of course wore it when it truly mattered -- on stage 21 -- while Uran finished second to him. Evans settled for 8th while Matthews, injured, failed to finish. Tuft on the other hand slid right down to the opposite end of the standings finishing second last in 155th, over 5 hours behind Quintana and 10 minutes ahead of the Lanterne Rouge of Jetse Bol, but finish it he did. 42 did not make it the full 3,445.5 kilometres from Belfast to Trieste.

It seems a long time ago now since that start in Belfast, but it has been an epic journey. A saga of many twists and turns from Australian dominance in the first week, to a neutralized/non-neutralized stage, to attacks from all comers looking to grab the title in what quickly became the most wide open Grand Tour in years, in a race that started in the rain, traveled through the snow and came out bathed in sunshine by the finish. A true passageway into the summer season of cycling.

Result:

1. Luka Mezgec (Giant-Shimano) in 4-23-58

2. Giacomo Nizzolo (Trek) + s.t.

3. Tyler Farrar (Garmin Sharp) + s.t.

4. Nacer Bouhanni (FDJ.fr) + s.t.

5. Roberto Ferrari (Lampre) + s.t.

6. Leonardo Duque (Colombia) + s.t.

Final overall: 

1. Nairo Quintana (Movistar) in 88-14-32

2. Rigoberto Uran (OPQS) + 2-58

3. Fabio Aru (Astana) + 4-04

4. Pierre Rolland (Europcar) + 5-46

5. Domenico Pozzovivo (AG2R) + 6-32

6. Rafal Majka (Tinkoff-Saxo) + 7-04

7. Wilco Kelderman (Belkin) + 11-00

8. Cadel Evans (BMC) + 11-51

9. Ryder Hesjedal (Garmin Sharp) + 13-35

10. Robert Kiserlovski (Trek) + 15-49

Lanterne Rouge:

156. Jetse Bol (Belkin) + 5-15-19

Points classification: 

1. Nacer Bouhanni (FDJ.fr) 391 pts

2. Giacomo Nizzolo (Trek) 265 pts

3. Roberto Ferrari (Lampre) 186 pts

Mountains classification: 

1. Julian Arredondo (Trek) 173 pts

2. Dario Cataldo (Sky) 132 pts

3. Nairo Quintana (Movistar) 88 pts

Young rider classification:

1. Nairo Quintana (Movistar) in 88-14-32

2. Fabio Aru (Astana) + 4-04

3. Rafal Majka (Tinkoff-Saxo) +7-04

Team classification:

1. AG2R La Mondiale in 264-30-55

2. Omega Pharma Quick-Step + 19-32

3. Tinkoff-Saxo + 27-12